America celebrated Independence Day with a bang in the stock market this week, as we witnessed record numbers yet again. This impressive performance coincided with a rally in the back end of the yield ...

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As fears grow over a wobbly economy, talk of the yield curve—especially when it becomes inverted—grows, because it has often been seen as a chief predictor of a recession. Key terms: Interest rates ...

The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money ...

If you consider yourself an educated investor, there are two things you may already know about an inverted yield curve. First, it describes a period in which short-term bonds offer higher interest ...

Richard Woolnough would like someone to explain how flattening the yield curve via Operation Twist is supposed to help the financial sector. "The flat yield curve ... will reduce the positive carry ...

The inverted yield curve has been one of the most reliable predictors of an imminent recession. An inversion of short and long-term bond yields has preceded every recession since World War II. But the ...

The inverted yield curve is a closely followed recession indicator, but it isn't the only one to watch. Prior inversions have preceded a recession by as much as two years, making it difficult to use ...

There’s nothing I’d rather do to celebrate my 47th birthday than write about the yield curve. 🙂 While the Fed’s rate moves—cuts or hikes—often explain the curve’s shifts, the yield curve itself has ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...