When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, ...

Daniel Liberto is a journalist with over 10 years of experience working with publications such as the Financial Times, The Independent, and Investors Chronicle. Michael Boyle is an experienced ...

Since the Fed’s rate cut at the end of October, the entire yield curve from the 3-month Treasury yield to the 30-year ...

There’s been a major change in one of the bond market’s favorite indicators: the yield curve. After roughly two years of “inversion,” yields are now behaving like they do most of the time, with longer ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The Treasury yield curve is now its least inverted—meaning yields on long-term Treasurys are below those on shorter-term ones—since Nov. 1, with the two-year yield sliding to near-year lows. Inverted ...

For decades, the yield curve has served as the bedrock of fixed-income strategy. A steep, upward-sloping curve typically signalled economic optimism, offering investors higher yields to compensate for ...